Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.038341 0.044571 0.051492 0.059752 0.069345 0.080138 0.093209
2025-11-30 0.029051 0.037308 0.047424 0.060735 0.077807 0.098989 0.127311
2025-12-07 0.022902 0.031759 0.043461 0.060068 0.083062 0.113837 0.158261
2025-12-14 0.018484 0.027301 0.039697 0.058414 0.086020 0.125339 0.185803
2025-12-21 0.015278 0.023826 0.036503 0.056699 0.088151 0.135422 0.212194
2025-12-28 0.013498 0.022095 0.035467 0.057812 0.094343 0.151950 0.250184
2026-01-04 0.011905 0.020364 0.034103 0.058082 0.099055 0.166549 0.286876
2026-01-11 0.010576 0.018841 0.032811 0.058190 0.103365 0.180842 0.324761
2026-01-18 0.009587 0.017739 0.032043 0.059020 0.108906 0.197751 0.369258
2026-01-25 0.008853 0.016976 0.031738 0.060581 0.115872 0.217908 0.422155
2026-02-01 0.007764 0.015399 0.029738 0.058705 0.116149 0.225772 0.452852
2026-02-08 0.007027 0.014391 0.028666 0.058435 0.119412 0.239562 0.496730
2026-02-15 0.006330 0.013383 0.027493 0.057863 0.122109 0.252803 0.541810
2026-02-22 0.005884 0.012832 0.027163 0.058973 0.128411 0.274118 0.606720
2026-03-01 0.005330 0.011976 0.026090 0.058360 0.130959 0.287909 0.657286
2026-03-08 0.004761 0.011009 0.024656 0.056762 0.131115 0.296538 0.697475
2026-03-15 0.004257 0.010119 0.023278 0.055097 0.130879 0.304225 0.736479
2026-03-22 0.004006 0.009784 0.023101 0.056178 0.137143 0.327422 0.815261
2026-03-29 0.003724 0.009337 0.022609 0.056440 0.141475 0.346627 0.886940
2026-04-05 0.003461 0.008898 0.022081 0.056546 0.145430 0.365401 0.960100
2026-04-12 0.003261 0.008596 0.021846 0.057352 0.151249 0.389475 1.050197
2026-04-19 0.003116 0.008413 0.021886 0.058869 0.159103 0.419663 1.160616
2026-04-26 0.002817 0.007786 0.020718 0.057047 0.157869 0.426177 1.207795